Obama Double Digit Poll Leads

Battleground states are falling heavily for Barack Obama and by double digit leads according to MSNBC today. I believe these numbers are coming from the University of Wisconsin poll and this is what they show. Obama is ahead of McCain in Minnesota 19%, Wisconsin 13%, Michigan 22%, Iowa 13%, Illinois 29%, Indiana 10%, Ohio 12 % and Pennsylvania by 11%.

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Just for giggles I went over to Real Clear Politics and plugged this information into the Electoral Map. I love this feature and find myself using it at least a couple of days a week. Mind you the map starts out with Obama at 259 and McCain at 157 solid electoral college votes, leaning states move the map to 306 to 157 in Obama’s favor. That leaves 75 electoral college votes in toss up mode.

If you change all the states leaning to Obama or McCain and then plug in MN, WI, MI, IA, IL, IN, OH, PA all over to Obama and give John McCain all the toss up states (MT, ND, NV, MO, NC, FL) you end up with Obama winning 317 to 221.

If you look at the maps from another perspective and click on the “No Toss Ups” option, McCain would need to win OH, PA, IN, VA, NC, and FL to get to 270 to win the Presidency.

Papamoka

Obama Horse Whipping McCain in Electoral Votes

Over at Real Clear Politics they have a state by state tabulation of polls on how each state is going to vote and Obama is beating the crap out of McCain. Granted there are still some states that are in the toss up category but as time passes folks and polls will change. As of today, RCP has 153 solid Electoral College votes for Obama and 99 solid votes for McCain. Eleven states are in a toss up category with 137 votes in play. What is surprising is the number of states that President Bush won that are now going for Obama or leaning just a tad for McCain.

I honestly believe that one of the things that is swinging what was once a die hard red state to a thinking about going blue state is the simple fact that Barack Obama is selling hope and not fear. Who in their right winged mind would have voted for Ronald Reagan if he ran his Presidential campaign on fear? He ran his campaign on pride and a simple belief that America is the greatest land on Earth! Ronald Reagan was the great communicator and in the same breath and thought, so is Barack Obama. America is in a time of turmoil, we just have not hit rock bottom yet. Our banking institutions are in crisis, our housing market is busted, and our military is based on calling our sons and daughters up for their third and fourth and even fifth or sixth tour of duty in Iraq. Our nation is in trouble and in times of trouble, we need real leaders that can bring us all together under one flag, not divide us as the last eight years has proven. America needs a new Sherriff in the White House and just as well in the Congress. When you stand back and look at what America can be, and the future that each political candidate on both sides of the aisle is painting then the choice for your vote should be as plain as can be. One is looking at a one hundred year war and the other is looking at diplomacy and working together to solve so many problems our world faces.

All across the world people fight for freedom but don’t understand what it really means. When you think of freedom you have to think of something as delicate as a flower. It is the ultimate form of beauty to the person looking at it as it should be on the plant it came from. When you pick that flower the beauty is short lived as the pedals slowly die without the nutrients it needed from its roots to propagate the species. Freedom is something you have to appreciate and cultivate to make sure it survives the winter. In the end, no matter how much the bull dozers of progress trample the seeds of freedom they grow and flower once more.

Right now in our lifetime we as a people have an opportunity to see flowers and freedom as we have never seen them before. An opportunity to view freedom in its greatest bloom and that only happens when we choose a leader that is looking at all of our people and not just one side of the flower bed. Ronald Reagan gave birth to pride in America in his Presidency because he believed in the American people. He nurtured the pride and stood guard over it like a dotting parent and the result was a newborn belief in America that still stands today. Only Barack Obama can rebuild the pride in our nation from the damage done by the Bush prodigal son. Obama is not selling fear or hate in his message to America, he is telling all of us that we can be one people once more with a common goal. Freedom. Something our founding fathers granted us all as a people in the Constitution. Not some of us, not half of us, but all of us as a people.

Freedom, that is as American as Apple Pie!

Papamoka

Chris Matthews to Hillary “Pack it up!”

Using Real Clear Politics delegate count page it isn’t hard to see where the numbers will end up in the Democrat Primary race. Hillary Clinton would have to beat Barack Obama 66% to 34% in every race from here to the end. In my figures I’m using all possible delegates including super delegates.

Chris Matthews has the opinion that this race is over for Hillary Clinton and the media is spinning it just to keep the action going. I’d have to agree with him that a 32 point trouncing in every race left against Obama is not going to happen.



Then again Obama could really screw up? Nope, that isn’t going to happen either.

Pack it up Hillary!

Papamoka

Posted in OpenLeft.com Diaries

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