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Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Chris Matthews to Hillary “Pack it up!”

Using Real Clear Politics delegate count page it isn’t hard to see where the numbers will end up in the Democrat Primary race. Hillary Clinton would have to beat Barack Obama 66% to 34% in every race from here to the end. In my figures I’m using all possible delegates including super delegates.

Chris Matthews has the opinion that this race is over for Hillary Clinton and the media is spinning it just to keep the action going. I’d have to agree with him that a 32 point trouncing in every race left against Obama is not going to happen.



Then again Obama could really screw up? Nope, that isn’t going to happen either.

Pack it up Hillary!

Papamoka

Posted in OpenLeft.com Diaries

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Friday, March 28, 2008

Hillary Looses a Big Endorsement in PA


I have to thank my friend for this post birth. With Hillary Clinton declaring that she would tear apart her own political if not nominated then this is indeed the time for all Democrats to own up. This is not the time for any elected official to sit on the sidelines and wait for a declared winner if they are true Democrats. If the party is worthy of the next Presidency then ALL politically elected Democrats need to get off of their hands and speak loud and clear. Is our party owned by Hillary Clinton and her husbands Hench men?

No matter how you look at what Hillary Clinton and her crew of fund raising thugs have promised it is a burn the party General W. T. Sherman theology for not towing the Clinton line. If that isn’t a tantrum by the Senator from New York then I don’t know what one is?

Over at the New York Times they have this on one Democrat fed up with her bullying tactics that has previously sworn to stay neutral…

In a surprise move, Senator Bob Casey of Pennsylvania has endorsed Senator Barack Obama in advance of the April 22 Democratic primary. Mr. Casey had said he would remain neutral in the race in part because he wanted to help broker a reconciliation between Mr. Obama and Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton afterward.

“I believe in my heart that there is one person who’s uniquely qualified to lead us in that new direction and that is Barack Obama.” Mr. Casey said during a rally in Pittsburgh Friday.

“I really believe that in a time of danger around the world and in division here at home, Barack Obama can lead us, he can heal us, he can help rebuild America,” he said.
Mr. Casey is going against the grain in his state, where polls show Mrs. Clinton ahead by at least 12 percentage points and where she has the endorsement of most of the state’s major Democratic figures.

Snip

“For a long time, I was not only neutral, I was undecided an undecided voter,” Mr. Casey said at a news conference in the ornate Soldiers and Sailors Military Museum and Memorial in Pittsburgh.

But, having made his decision, he made clear he intended to throw not just his family name, but his political know-how into Mr. Obama’s effort. “I know a lot about campaigns and a lot about our state,” said Mr. Casey. “I think it’s very important that I make the decision public.”

He framed his support for Mr. Obama in terms of character, with a sideways glance at the increasingly acrimonious primary season. “A campaign can test someone; he’s been tested,” Mr. Casey said. “He’s appealed to the better angels of our nature under very difficult circumstances.”
- New York Times

If Hillary Clinton wants to tell all politicians that she wants a fight at the convention then that is more or less telling any true politician that she is the Queen. Her will be done… or else. For the most part, if I were a politician holding any seat in government I would look to the fact that he or she was elected by the people. And what the Senator from New York is suggesting is that she will be the next Democrat nominee for President with or without the popular vote and caucus results from each state. How does that actually work Senator Clinton?

That is the key question that reporters from ABC, CBS, Washington Post, MSNBC, NBC, New York Times, FOX, CNN and the Wall Street Journal should be asking. If Hillary Clinton is so sure that she will be the nominee regardless of the popular vote in each state then what back room deals are written in stone. You find that answer by investigating all of the obvious routes. Somewhere is the answer and knowing the Clinton family past it involves money and that is the just the beginning.

Democracy should be by the people and not some deal made by political favors and promises given if the Presidency is handed over as if passing a scepter. Our nation is not a Monarchy!

Somebody explain that fact to her Highness to be Queen Hillary Clinton!

The American people are not stupid. We know and see what she is doing and what she is doing is wrong. As much as she is complaining about the people of Michigan and Florida not having their say in a vote she is also telling the rest of the Democrat Party that she will be the nominee no matter how you voted in your state. Not only is she burning her party but she is burning the road to re-election as Senator from New York. Hopefully, she didn’t spend all of the money from her last book deal.

Papamoka

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Thursday, March 27, 2008

Scorched Earth Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton today announced that she will take her election all the way to the Democrat convention for a knock down drag out fight to win her parties nomination. This news comes out at the same time as the mega millionaire Hillary Clinton supporters drafted a letter to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi with a vague threat of pulling support from all Democrats if she doesn’t play ball with Hillary Clinton.

It may come as a shock to some people reading this article but I’m pretty sure Hillary Clinton would sell her soul to be the next Democrat nominee for President. Politics being what it is, by its own nature is a cut throat occupation and those willing to make back room deals are usually the ones with no conscience as to the will of the people. In that respect, would you support a nominee for President if it was stolen from the peoples actual vote? I know for a fact that I would not support a Democrat candidate that manipulated the process to place their name on the ballot against the voters wishes.



This latest stunt by Hillary Clinton is deplorable and very much likely will backfire on her. The American people can see a bully in the school yard and we know how to deal with bullies. For one thing we do not line up in lock step to support them because we just might be the next target of their anger. Politically, this was a very brazen and idiotic move by Hillary Clinton. As for her denying full knowledge of what was in the Mafia type letter sent to the Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi… Bull!!!

Tucker Carlson put it right in stating that there is no way to deal with Hillary Clinton if she will destroy the party she supposedly loves if that party does not serve her up as the nominee.

Somebody grab a chill pill and kindly offer it to the Senator from New York. If she insists on taking the election by hell or high water then she will find many Democrats voting for McCain come November.

***** Well researched and opposing opinion at I See My Dreams
http://iseemydreams.blogspot.com/2008/03/in-it-to-win-it.html


Papamoka

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Friday, March 21, 2008

Richardson Goes for Obama


In a very surprising and controversial time in the Obama campaign they have found a new friend with the very much needed endorsement of Governor Bill Richardson. Even the close friendship of former President Bill Clinton could not sway the Governor of New Mexico to join the Hillary Clinton band wagon. Over at MSNBC they have this to say about it…

SANTA FE, New Mexico - New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson, America's only Hispanic governor, is endorsing Sen. Barack Obama for president, calling him a "once-in-a- lifetime leader" who can unite the nation and restore the country's international leadership.

Richardson, who dropped out of the Democratic race in January, is to appear with Obama on Friday at a campaign event in Portland, Oregon, The Associated Press has learned.

Snip

Richardson has been relentlessly wooed by Obama and Clinton for his endorsement. As a Democratic superdelegate, the governor plays a part in the tight race for nominating votes and could bring other superdelegates to Obama's side. He also has been mentioned as a potential running mate for either candidate.
- MSNBC

What is interesting about this endorsement is the quality of the individual. Earlier in this political contest Bill Richardson was a huge favorite for Independents and Moderate voters. Even at one point there was talk back in the Iowa caucus days of Richardson and Biden joining camps to form a super Democrat ticket.

Richardson’s endorsement brings some serious credentials with it when it comes to diplomacy around the world. When he was still running for President he spoke at length about talking to nations of the world with issues against America rather than brow beating them into submission or using military force to show them the true path.

What will be interesting to see is if the endorsement of Obama by Governor Richardson will swing a big enough chunk of Hispanic voters away from the Clinton campaign. That will be the true test of this endorsement.

It begs at the mind to wonder if Barack Obama has promised the Vice Presidency to the Governor if nominated by the Democrats. Having a running mate with five Nobel Peace Prize nominations under his belt certainly would work to Obama’s favor when it comes to foreign policy.

Papamoka

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Tuesday, March 11, 2008

Mississippi Going for Obama


Even before the votes are counted Senator Clinton is counting the great state of Mississippi out for Senator Obama. Not that that surprises me but you would have thought she at least might have thought the contest might just be close before the results were even tallied. Given all the blunders of all the polling numbers I would never personally give the state to any candidate before the full vote count was in.

When it comes to delegates to the Democrat Convention and that is what the primaries are all about, this state plays a key role when it comes to the final process. Not simply because they are holding a primary but simply because they played by the rules of the Democrat Party on selecting a candidate. We’ll get into that a little bit latter after we look at this piece from MSNBC on Hillary Clinton’s white flag campaign for Mississippi…

Clinton battles Obama for Mississippi votes
Illinois senator favored to win majority of state's 33 delegates


Obama began the night with 1,579 delegates, to 1,473 for Clinton. It takes 2,025 to win the nomination.

Neither of the two rivals appears able to win enough delegates through primaries and caucuses to prevail in their historic race for the nomination, a development that has elevated the importance of nearly 800 elected officials and party leaders who will attend next summer's national convention as unelected superdelegates.

Obama leads Clinton among pledged delegates, 1,368-1,226 in The Associated Press' count, while the former first lady has an advantage among superdelegates, 247-211.

Adding to the uncertainty of the nominating campaign, Democrats from Florida and Michigan are pressing for their delegations to be seated at the convention.


Snip and Tuck

"Some people have said 'Well Mississippi is very much a state that will most likely be in favor of Senator Obama.' I said 'Well, that's fine,' but I want people in Mississippi to know I'm for you," she said in Hattiesburg before flying to Pennsylvania.

Obama made a stop Tuesday in Greenville before heading to Pennsylvania, too.

"I've been praying for you," a man called out.

"I believe in prayer," Obama replied.
- MSNBC

Both Obama and Clinton probably have better access to polling numbers than I do and I would hope that they do. What I’m getting at is even if the numbers are bloody ugly, a candidate for President should never leave any state chucking the bird at the folks that just happen to be in the middle of the road and undecided. How many times do you have to see on the local news, national news and every single online news site that many people made their decision on who they want for the Democrat candidate for President when they actually were in the voting booth?

As for the ongoing debate over the delegate’s to the Democrat Convention from Florida and Michigan, that is or should be ended with three words, “Let Them Vote”.

Make no mistake about it, this process is not a popularity contest for the general public. This is the Democrat primary for President of the United States of America. It is a political party that allows Independent voters to participate but there are rules for all candidates to abide by. Florida and Michigan broke the rules of the Democrat Party by moving their voting dates up. In doing so the Democrat Party stripped them of their delegates to the Democrat Party Convention. If you broke the rules you get penalized for it.

There are some that say the delegates from each state should be seated as the process stands and I would have to argue with you on that point. Both candidates vowed to not run in Florida and yet Senator Clinton’s name was the only one on the ballot? Knowing many a friend and family in Florida that just happen to be Democrats they didn’t even bother to vote because they were told the election process did not count. Same goes for Michigan!

If you want to make this a fair fight then schedule a re-vote for both states with all of the candidates on the ballot. Schedule it, let the candidates campaign in the states and let the voters decide with an actual vote that THEY know will count. Don’t back door, smoke filled room, old boys of the Democrat Party decide who can and can not be seated at the convention. Doing that wreaks of political election corruption and we have had enough of that under the current occupant of the White House.

It is our political party and the people in Florida and Michigan should be given the opportunity to decide who THEY want to face John McCain in the next general election for President. If the Democrats back room dealings seat the delegates from Florida and Michigan without a re-vote then the election process is a joke for every single Democrat.

Papamoka
Cross posted at MichaelLinnJones.com

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Wednesday, February 27, 2008

Super Delegate & Super Heroes


If the race for President comes down to the Democrat Convention then super delegates will play a huge role in deciding if Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama will be the parties nominee. That being said the Clinton machine is in trouble with a huge loss of super delegates. NBC and Brian Williams report that Obama has gained 35 super delegates in the last couple of weeks where as Clinton has suffered a net loss of five super delegates.

One of the super heroes of the civil rights movement John Lewis is also a super delegate. One other fact is that he has been and is still a very close personal friend of Hillary and Bill Clinton. Formerly, he committed to supporting Hillary Clinton in the convention but changed his mind to vote for Obama.

In the latest campaign setback for Clinton just days before crucial Democratic primaries in Ohio and Texas, Lewis said that his constituents back Obama, an Illinois senator, and that it was his "duty ... to express the will of the people."

Clinton had hoped that Lewis, who was severely beaten during civil rights demonstrations in the 1960s, would help her win the support of black voters. If he wins the White House in November, Obama would be the first black U.S. president.

Previously, Lewis said he was supporting Clinton, a New York senator, for the Democratic presidential nomination.

"Something is happening in America," Lewis said in a statement explaining his shift. "The people are pressing for a new day in American politics and I think they see Sen. Barack Obama as a symbol of that change."

Obama, campaigning in Ohio, said in a statement: "John Lewis is an American hero and a giant of the Civil Rights Movement, and I am deeply honored to have his support."
Asked about the switch, Clinton said she respected Lewis and understood that he has been under tremendous pressure.
- Reuters

This was a tough personal call for John Lewis but it was the right one for the right reasons. John Lewis has fought for change his entire life and it could be said that he of all people can recognize the power of change in an Obama candidacy for President.

Hillary Clinton’s last chance for a knock your socks off debate in Ohio passed with nothing more than a he said, she said, minimalist attempt at true debate. The only outcome was the simple fact that Hillary looked like she was whining.

You’ve seen it here first in this political prediction. Hillary Clinton will follow the party line if she looses Texas and Ohio with a suspension of her campaign. Not because her chances to win the primary are over but for the simple fact that she too believes in change and her political party needs to win the White House this election for a far greater purpose than her own desire to be President. Her candidacy is strong but it isn’t strong enough to get the votes she needs to unseat Obama from the nomination of the Democrat Party.

Getting past this election cycle in Texas and Ohio, if Hillary Clinton suspends her campaign then Barack Obama would be a political moron not to pick Hillary Clinton as his Vice President choice in the general election. Beginning the campaign of two very brilliant minds and campaign staffs merged for one purpose and that would be CHANGE!

Politics makes very strange bedfellows and John Lewis made a tough decision that is admirable. Instead of following party politics and a friendship he surely cherishes, he chose the path most difficult to travel endorsing Obama and it was the wisest choice for someone that has believed in change for decades.

Papamoka

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